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With or Without You

With or Without You

While Tech stocks came close to making a 10% correction last week, many of the sectors that lagged last year (yes, even international stocks) were among the leaders. With growth, led by personal consumption and a strong labor market, still solid heading into 2025, investors may be remembering the lead single from U2’s 1987 classic, The Joshua Tree, as they ask whether they can live “With or Without” the AI trade.

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The Reason

The Reason

Overall, we do not see economic growth giving the Fed The Reason to cut rates in the near term, with the U.S. economy exhibiting much more resilience to short term interest rates this cycle. But given the wild cards of President Trump’s second term and the funding challenges of the Treasury, we expect to see continued jawboning around a desired path forward for Fed policy, even if growth remains resilient.

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2025 Outlook: Great Expectations

2025 Outlook: Great Expectations

One of the many incisive lessons from Charles Dicken’s Great Expectations is how quickly a new environment can alter our perceptions and make us forget from where we came.

Just like young Pip who forgets his humble roots and comes to demand great things from his London high society life, only to be disappointed, today’s investors and forecasters have become accustomed to a high return, low volatility, upside-surprise-driven macro and market environment.

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NewEdge Wealth is a division of NewEdge Capital Group, LLC. Investment advisory services offered through NewEdge Wealth, LLC, a registered investment adviser. Securities offered through NewEdge Securities, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC

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