The Weekly Edge

2026: A Rate Odyssey

2026: A Rate Odyssey

Introduction: A Strange Trip for Rates So Far in 2026 "I am completely operational, and all my circuits are functioning perfectly." Year-ahead consensus predictions rarely get things perfectly right, but it’s fair to say that despite looking very promising for the...

What It Is to Burn (Cash)

What It Is to Burn (Cash)

  Like a bad star, I’m falling faster down to her She’s the only one who knows what it is to burn “What It Is to Burn”, Finch   In a podcast recording on Thursday, we shared that Google’s 2Q earnings reminded us of that great Deftones song “Change (In the...

Know Your Enemy

Know Your Enemy

Introduction: Know Your Enemy “Think ya know what it’s all about? Huh! Hey yo, so check this out!” Last week’s whirlwind of Fed commentary and inflation data created a few market gyrations but ultimately left interest rates lower and the need for rate hikes less...

Graduation Season

Graduation Season

This week we are recapping a historic second quarter for global equity markets and taking a closer look at the recent FTSE/Russell index reconstitution. While it happens every six months, this cycle’s index rebalancing, measured by total market cap movement and the...

The Hand That Feeds

The Hand That Feeds

Just how deep do you believe? "The Hand That Feeds", Nine Inch Nails   Equity markets are biting the hand that feeds. It is no secret that the largest contributor to S&P 500 returns in 2026 has been the AI infrastructure trade (AI capex recipients), with key...

A Man of Few Words

A Man of Few Words

Introduction: A New World for a New Fed “There’s a button for that.” A lot can happen in a week, and the past week was notable in three ways. First, the U.S.-Iran conflict appears to have reached the beginning of its end, with both sides expected to sign a Memorandum...

Comedown

Comedown

Equity markets stumbled on Friday as investors learned that euphoria does, in fact, have a comedown, but we think Mr. Rossdale would agree with us that this comedown is a healthy and good development for this bull market.

Here to Mars

Here to Mars

Honey, it's in the stars And you're my everything from here to Mars “Here to Mars”, Coheed and Cambria   For the last 25 years, Coheed and Cambria have been releasing progressive rock concept albums that follow the story of The Amory Wars, a series of science...