This week, the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) held its final monetary policy gathering of the year, and it used the occasion to slash its policy target rate one more time. While the economic data flow remains impaired by the 43-day government shutdown, the committee saw enough weakness in the labor market to feel it needed to ease policy for the third time in as many meetings.
The Weekly Edge
Right Back Where We Started From
Cameron Dawson breaks down why GDP and EPS forecasts for 2026 are “Right Back Where We Started From,” what’s driving revisions, and where markets may go from here.
Giving Thanks
We hope our NewEdge Wealth clients and readers are having a wonderful Thanksgiving week. Whether you’re reading this in advance of the big day or after, as your body digests the feast, we offer this edition of the Weekly Edge for your consumption. In it, you’ll find a collection of charts showing some of the macro trends for which we are most thankful this year.
Emotional Haircut
With Thanksgiving next week, it is incredible that the 2025 holiday season is already upon us (time flies when you live in interesting times).
Don’t Escape from New York
New York City’s Mayor-elect, Zohran Mamdani, has generated lively debate among investors regarding their municipal bond holdings and the financial future of New York City.
Tremors
As we enter the final few weeks of 2025, investors have ridden a wave of optimism propelled by economic resilience and rising corporate profits. As we wrote last week, however, this bull market is beginning to look brittle. Assets tied to unprofitable entities, many of which have rallied powerfully in recent months, are off their highs and overall market volatility is up.
Chicken Fried
Speculative, revenue-less stocks are surging in 2025. Learn about the “chicken fried” rally that shows why quality matters.
Livin’ on a Prayer
This week we are revisiting the small and mid-cap U.S. equity segment, dissecting recent performance trends and analyzing what are, once again, lofty expectations for profit growth in the coming calendar year.
Golden Eye
Another week, and another new all-time high. No, not for the S&P 500 (this time), but for gold.
Such Great Heights
High valuations have been a source of persistent consternation to investors looking at S&P 500 price levels.