Latest Investments & Planning Insights

“Slightly lower taxes for some, similar taxes for others” doesn’t sound like an exciting policy platform. But any time we’re talking about a major U.S. tax and spending bill, the stakes are high.

The question going forward is what this self-inflicted tariff uncertainty will morph into as time goes on. Will tariffs prove to be a mere inconvenience to U.S. consumers and corporations, with these entities being able to absorb and navigate the impacts without a significant hit to the economy?

The U.S. economy sustained a significant shock on Liberation Day, one that has already shown up clearly in consumer and business survey data. We now brace for the impact on corporate earnings and real economic activity, assuming the tariffs are not withdrawn in the interim.

This week felt like a breakup on two fronts: first, the trading relationship between the U.S. and China on the trade front, and second, the financial relationship between U.S. financial assets and the rest of the world’s desire to hold them.