Here we are already, a blink away from the beginning of July, and the year has positively flown by.
Investors have certainly had to stomach bouts of high volatility caused by these “interesting” times, but for all the chop and churn, returns have actually been rather healthy. In fact, a straight 60/40 portfolio, made up of 60% Equities in the All-Country World Index (ACWI) and 40% Fixed Income in the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index has returned a sturdy 7.2%!
Being in the space between should feel somewhat familiar to investors, as we experienced a space between back in 2022. Uncertainty and market volatility was pronounced that year, as investors debated how a rapid rise in Fed interest rates and the associated weakening in sentiment/soft data would weigh on real economic activity. Forecasters slashed estimates for U.S. GDP and S&P 500 EPS growth, broadly expecting a recession to be the end result of that space between, while equities experienced a bear market in anticipation of this weaker growth.
Hear the team’s insights into the economy, key policy trends, and market dynamics as they explored upcoming challenges and opportunities.
One of the many incisive lessons from Charles Dicken’s Great Expectations is how quickly a new environment can alter our perceptions and make us forget from where we came.
Just like young Pip who forgets his humble roots and comes to demand great things from his London high society life, only to be disappointed, today’s investors and forecasters have become accustomed to a high return, low volatility, upside-surprise-driven macro and market environment.
In true NewEdge fashion, our 2025 Outlook Preview is presented as a “songbook”, inspired by songs from a broad swath of genres. In addition to the link to the charts below, we have also shared a video where Chief Investment Officer Cameron Dawson walks through the deck.
Ample analytical energy has been expended in the great debate about what kind of “Landing” the U.S. economy will experience in 2024. Will it be a “Soft Landing” where growth remains relatively resilient as inflation falls? Or a “Hard Landing” where growth...
We started 2023 with a mantra from Goethe: “Enjoy what you can, endure what you must.” After a roaring rally in equities and a much-improved showing from fixed income compared to 2022’s weakness, 2023 has been a year of far more enjoyment than enduring.
As we exit a tumultuous 2022 and face the inherent uncertainty of a new year, we adopt the wise words of Goethe as our mantra for 2023: “Enjoy what you can, endure what you must.”