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The Bonnie Banks o’ S&P
Annual outlook season has begun in earnest on Wall Street. Strategists from around the Street have started publishing their predictions for the S&P 500 next year, and though there are ample critiques about using single point estimates for markets , it is helpful to understand the logic and drivers behind these different takes on the market.
It’s All Over Now Baby Blue: Is the Fed Tightening Cycle Over? A Historical Perspective
After this week’s softer CPI and sharp movement lower in bond yields, is this time different? Is it truly “all over now baby blue” for this tightening cycle?
Back in (the) Black: U.S. Equity Third Quarter Earnings Recap
This week we are providing our assessment of the third quarter S&P500 earnings season which could be appropriately summarized by AC/DC’s “Back In Black”, as the broad index has returned to profit growth after four straight quarters of declines.
Your Time is Gonna Come
Lags can be a powerful force, not just in music, but also in monetary policy. When it comes to lags, Jimmy Page walked so the Fed could run. One of Page’s innovations was capturing the Led Zeppelin’s “ambient sound” in recording, which is why the album sounds paradoxically rich and raw at the same time.
Equities’ Halloween Spooktacular
In Orlando, there are two large Halloween events that happen every year at the town’s theme parks. And after another tumultuous week in markets, we wonder which Halloween event the equity market is attending this year.
When We Were Young: Charts for an Angsty Market
The When We Were Young Festival is this weekend, and though no NewEdge Wealth team members are joining the angsty youth in attendance, we can’t help but think that the emo music from this festival matches the mood of today’s market.
Here Comes The Sun? U.S. Equity Third Quarter Earnings Preview
If an economic recession were to materialize in 2024 or after, renewed earnings weakness could be expected, challenging the current consensus forecasts of strong growth next year and the year after.
You Only Live Twice
2023’s string of stronger-than-expected economic data, continued with this week’s jobs data, has reminded us of the iconic 1967 scene in You Only Live Twice where a pronounced-dead Bond emerges from the depths of the ocean alive, well, and immaculately dressed.
Supersonic: Major Market Shifts as We Enter 4Q23
The major shifts in markets over the course of 3Q23 had us thinking about one of the greatest (true) stories in rock and roll history.
Liam Gallagher of Oasis began life having no interest in music, wholly uninterested in his brother Noel’s passion and prowess for songwriting.