The last few weeks of AI-infrastructure deal announcements have raised many an eyebrow about the circular nature of these deals (ex. Nvidia investing in $100B in OpenAI so that OpenAI can buy NVDA chips, alongside a $300B OpeanAI deal with Oracle that will purchase even more NVDA chips), and stirred up memories of the ill-fated vendor financing boom of the 1990’s tech bubble.
Here we are already, a blink away from the beginning of July, and the year has positively flown by.
Investors have certainly had to stomach bouts of high volatility caused by these “interesting” times, but for all the chop and churn, returns have actually been rather healthy. In fact, a straight 60/40 portfolio, made up of 60% Equities in the All-Country World Index (ACWI) and 40% Fixed Income in the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index has returned a sturdy 7.2%!
Being in the space between should feel somewhat familiar to investors, as we experienced a space between back in 2022. Uncertainty and market volatility was pronounced that year, as investors debated how a rapid rise in Fed interest rates and the associated weakening in sentiment/soft data would weigh on real economic activity. Forecasters slashed estimates for U.S. GDP and S&P 500 EPS growth, broadly expecting a recession to be the end result of that space between, while equities experienced a bear market in anticipation of this weaker growth.
Hear the team’s insights into the economy, key policy trends, and market dynamics as they explored upcoming challenges and opportunities.
One of the many incisive lessons from Charles Dicken’s Great Expectations is how quickly a new environment can alter our perceptions and make us forget from where we came.
Just like young Pip who forgets his humble roots and comes to demand great things from his London high society life, only to be disappointed, today’s investors and forecasters have become accustomed to a high return, low volatility, upside-surprise-driven macro and market environment.
In true NewEdge fashion, our 2025 Outlook Preview is presented as a “songbook”, inspired by songs from a broad swath of genres. In addition to the link to the charts below, we have also shared a video where Chief Investment Officer Cameron Dawson walks through the deck.
As we entered the third quarter of 2024, Cameron Dawson, CFA®, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, and members of our investment team hosted a webinar to offer their forecast for the quarter, review current market trends and key investment sectors in light of the upcoming election.
As the first quarter of 2024 drew to an end, Cameron Dawson, CFA®, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, and members of our investment team reviewed the current market trends and key investment sectors and provided their forecast for the upcoming quarter.
This week we shared our outlook for the economy and markets in the second quarter of 2023. For much, much more detail, please download the slide deck for our complete analysis of the second quarter macro and market environment.
Cameron Dawson, CFA®, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, and members of our investment team recently published their outlook for 2024. Listen in as they take a deep dive into the economy, policy, and markets for the upcoming year.